Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 3.283942 3.490449 3.708996 3.958492 4.236654 4.538672 4.893337
2025-11-16 2.902772 3.188721 3.508602 3.896793 4.360504 4.903814 5.599652
2025-11-23 2.712292 3.046218 3.434235 3.926067 4.544547 5.313658 6.372214
2025-11-30 2.562494 2.926359 3.361601 3.932490 4.680964 5.659766 7.095857
2025-12-07 2.388303 2.758850 3.211095 3.818852 4.640220 5.755715 7.476309
2025-12-14 2.246457 2.619546 3.082549 3.717608 4.598557 5.835475 7.832395
2025-12-21 2.157015 2.539187 3.021542 3.697199 4.660446 6.062154 8.442786
2025-12-28 2.078110 2.466784 2.964747 3.675577 4.714669 6.278349 9.068232
2026-01-04 2.007387 2.400604 2.911197 3.652682 4.761956 6.485041 9.711154
2026-01-11 1.960296 2.362601 2.892437 3.676097 4.878276 6.812629 10.641059
2026-01-18 1.922267 2.334320 2.884537 3.713228 5.017019 7.192503 11.762682
2026-01-25 1.890915 2.313151 2.884626 3.760919 5.175167 7.625293 13.114538
2026-02-01 1.817527 2.234171 2.803154 3.686196 5.136269 7.715014 13.767722
2026-02-08 1.752653 2.165012 2.733290 3.626191 5.119071 7.848315 14.588605
2026-02-15 1.717956 2.136180 2.719671 3.652048 5.250263 8.288750 16.379712
2026-02-22 1.680219 2.101218 2.694902 3.657748 5.345427 8.671487 18.197098
2026-03-01 1.616056 2.026240 2.607512 3.556694 5.237802 8.607918 18.612111
2026-03-08 1.558644 1.959115 2.529286 3.466479 5.143140 8.560970 19.078773
2026-03-15 1.523581 1.922940 2.495970 3.448272 5.181150 8.816214 20.740500
2026-03-22 1.490317 1.888198 2.463286 3.428975 5.214943 9.067279 22.553180
2026-03-29 1.458645 1.854717 2.431116 3.408533 5.244386 9.313128 24.530672
2026-04-05 1.438710 1.837735 2.423518 3.429439 5.357273 9.786676 27.966550
2026-04-12 1.422636 1.825836 2.423155 3.462571 5.497899 10.362567 32.631862